Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 150.832255 172.486632 196.602876 225.531625 259.394770 297.903159 345.186415
2025-11-23 119.648714 147.475286 181.224657 225.477571 282.423255 353.842521 451.147161
2025-11-30 102.777108 133.749036 173.730791 229.752332 307.219199 412.036385 567.121534
2025-12-07 87.170606 118.245359 160.332294 222.439497 313.358987 444.127237 651.142111
2025-12-14 76.918275 108.096410 152.098466 220.018984 324.555088 483.310810 750.475987
2025-12-21 70.101953 101.690513 147.956277 222.355144 342.261872 533.818379 875.346638
2025-12-28 66.090863 98.768933 148.335130 231.211839 370.839971 605.173353 1047.474979
2026-01-04 62.154981 95.411428 147.478054 237.692369 396.026756 674.245300 1228.421190
2026-01-11 56.991279 89.509722 141.821421 235.292325 405.292016 716.326550 1366.287062
2026-01-18 53.879604 86.573245 140.613332 240.211882 428.029160 786.192538 1572.772527
2026-01-25 50.093978 82.114587 136.320794 239.006616 439.001644 834.881861 1744.557133
2026-02-01 47.690191 79.766009 135.394101 243.764521 461.947996 910.840035 1992.399563
2026-02-08 44.625438 76.237010 132.474761 245.336526 480.767286 985.764200 2267.144482
2026-02-15 41.508170 72.348088 128.558402 244.619872 495.155307 1054.817779 2549.248081
2026-02-22 39.393229 70.072292 127.385020 249.222442 521.687837 1156.644687 2945.919696
2026-03-01 36.037395 65.139149 120.576010 241.192141 518.679623 1187.849483 3158.448896
2026-03-08 33.628006 61.793382 116.535367 238.537238 527.629491 1250.307076 3480.403020
2026-03-15 31.987587 59.792436 114.976146 241.098044 549.410669 1350.169316 3948.710399
2026-03-22 31.161785 59.329135 116.508062 250.810137 590.495269 1510.734679 4669.616342
2026-03-29 30.145154 58.377771 116.902420 257.919578 626.207589 1664.705472 5427.561268
2026-04-05 28.392814 55.744434 113.412990 255.286327 635.675226 1744.389379 5947.402464
2026-04-12 27.415206 54.660566 113.212052 260.684270 668.086584 1901.481739 6828.865903
2026-04-19 26.009098 52.536921 110.476586 259.361671 681.351247 2001.526700 7523.029811